Boone on Crude
On Friday, legendary oilman T. Boone Pickens predicted that oil will hit $100 a barrel, possibly in the fourth quarter, but definitely by sometime next year.
The reasoning behind is prediction is that he believes worldwide demand has outpaced global output of 85 million barrels a day. Consequently, Boone, as a believer in supply and demand (as am I) says oil prices have nowhere to go but up.
“I think you’ll reach $100 (a barrel) before you go back to $80,” Pickens said before speaking at a gathering of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas at a downtown hotel. “It could happen in the fourth quarter, but you’ll see it within a year.” -Source
The jury is still out though on whether daily oil output has reached its maximum level. The federal GAO reported in March that most studies have found oil production will reach a peak between now and the year 2040.
In regards to alternative energy, Pickens is big on wind, although he said that any alternative fuel has a chance to offset petroleum.
You can’t discount Boone Pickens, his history in the oil and gas sector speaks volumes.
I think he’s right, oil will probably see $100 before it comes back to $80, however I believe the 100 dollar mark will be a psychological event that could stimulate a bust in the oil industry.
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