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Posts Tagged ‘Provident Energy’

Provident Energy, Strong Numbers for Q1

May 9th, 2009

Provident Energy (PVX: chart, web, Y!) released financials for Q1 this past Thursday, and noted that they would keep the distribution at $0.06 CDN for the coming month.

Some highlights for the quarter:

- Unitholder distributions in the first quarter of 2009 were $0.21 per unit resulting in a payout ratio of 65 percent, compared to the 70 percent payout in the first quarter of 2008 when Provident distributed $0.36 per unit.

- Provident maintained its financial flexibility during the first quarter with senior bank debt of $496 million (47 percent credit facility utilization), while total net debt was $749 million (including subordinated convertible debentures and net working capital), resulting in a net debt to trailing four quarters funds flow from continuing operations ratio of 1.6 times.

- Provident Midstream sold approximately 141,700 barrels per day (bpd) of natural gas liquids (NGL) in the first quarter of 2009, an increase of 4 percent from approximately 136,300 bpd in the first quarter of 2008 due primarily to the growing demand for condensate in the Redwater West business.

- Provident Midstream generated earnings before interest, taxes, depletion, depreciation, accretion and other non-cash items (EBITDA) of $70 million in the first quarter of 2009, down 8 percent from $76 million in the first quarter of 2008 due to lower NGL sale prices partially offset by lower feedstock prices, higher sales volumes and an $11 million realized gain from the commodity price risk management program.

- Provident Upstream produced approximately 24,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boed) in the first quarter of 2009, down 11 percent from 27,600 boed in the first quarter of 2008 due to naturally occurring production declines and the impact of the reduced 2009 capital program with spending focused on long term initiatives.

- Provident Upstream generated funds flow from operations of $23 million, down 68 percent from $71 million in the same quarter of 2008. This decline is due to lower production volumes and lower field operating netbacks (reflecting a substantial drop in oil and natural gas prices), partially offset by a $9 million realized gain from the commodity price risk management program.  -Source

On the downside, funds flow from operations was down 35% compared to Q1 of 2008.  Naturally, commodity prices have a lot to do with that, so it’s not necessarily indicative of faltering company strategy.

Corner Office Comments

I’m fairly pleased with the results of the first quarter operations, and I think natural gas prices, along with crude will start to strengthen into the summer, bolstering these numbers a bit more.

The payout ratio is starting to come back down a bit, which in this environment isn’t a bad thing.  The distribution cut is frustrating, but it’s one you’d have to expect when commodities are on the lamb.

The share price is starting to head back up hill, and I’ve started buying more shares below $6 to help average my overall cost down.  As the price continues to rise, I’ll sell off some shares in an effort to diversify out of the energy sector.

pvx_chart_9may09

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Added to PVX

February 25th, 2009

I picked up another handful of Provident Energy (PVX: chart, web, Y!) late yesterday afternoon.  I believe the stock is way oversold, and has considerable upside potential, despite the reduced distribution.

This was a move to not only capitalize on an oversold condition, but also average down on the stock.  Buying at $3.00 per share helped bring my average cost down below $9.00 per share.  I’ll continue to monitor the oil and gas sector for more potential opportunities.  Canadian royalty trusts have been beat into submission, but the fundamentals of the major players remain intact.

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No Surprise, Provident Cuts Distribution

February 12th, 2009

I had a hunch that this was coming, I just wasn’t sure when.  Provident Energy (PVX: chart, web, Y!) cut its distribution to $0.06 CAD or roughly $0.05 USD per share.

Naturally this is due to deflated crude oil prices, and a less than appealing outlook on the commodity price for the rest of 2009.

The company says that the reduction in the distribution, and the outlined capital program reflects the business objectives which “emphasize sustainability, fiscal prudence, and particularly in the current economic climate, preservation of balance sheet strength.”

They further state that the monthly distribution will continue to be set based on the company’s monthly rolling forecast.

The drop in the distribution brings the yield back in a more reasonable %13 return rate, but I continue to wonder if the cut was sufficient, or if there will be more in store in the coming months.

Corner Office Comments

I believe that crude oil is oversold, and may start to see the swing back to the upside after the OPEC meeting next month.

I don’t think the distribution cut was unreasonable, and I still feel that Provident is one of the better run Canadian Royalty Trusts out there, with a conservative outlook on both the energy and financial industry.

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