Can we call this a turning point in the street?

Tuesday, March 18th, 2008

The Fed cut its discount rate by 75 basis points, even when the street predicted a 100% chance of a full 100 point cut.

Whats more important though is that Goldman Sachs (GS: chart, web, Y!) and Lehman Brothers (LEH: chart, web, Y!) both reported smaller than expected profit declines, easing fears that the liquidity crisis that sank Bear Stearns (BSC: chart, web, Y!) could spread to other investment banks. While normally I don’t view a “smaller than expected decline” report as overly bullish, I do believe it helps isolate the …


Next Week on the Street

Sunday, March 16th, 2008

A few events to remember for next week:

Goldman Sachs reports earnings - March 18th, 8:30am
Goldman Sachs finished out 2007 in good shape with shares exceeding analysts predictions. However, Goldman’s true isolation from mortgage backed securities will be revealed in earnings for the next several quarters. With the bail out of Bear Stearns, I’m sure the street will be on pins and needles to see how well Goldman is fairing in this volatile market place.

Federal Open Market Committee meeting - March 18th, 9:00am .
Traders in interest rate futures have a 3/4% cut in the fed funds rate in mind and increasing evidence that the U.S. economy may be …


Fed Cut

Tuesday, December 11th, 2007

Well, by now the 25 basis point rate cut is old news. It’s interesting to see the mixed reaction to the cut; some say it wasn’t enough and that The Street was expecting 50 points, others say that the Fed should quit trying to save the economy from recession and let the free market play out.

A few highlights:

This Fed continues to display their cluelessness. They will definitely have to cut more times, so just GET IT OVER WITH now. Silly Fed. -Jordan, In The Money

What is the right number for interest rates? 4%? 3%? 2%? No one knows for sure, and that’s the problem. Investors are …


Crude Settles Higher, Dollar Be Lower

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

Yesterday crude oil settled in above $93 per barrel on production problems in Mexico and a weaker dollar.
Pemex, of Mexico, took 600,000 barrels a day off line due to weather. Most of the problem stems from ports being closed, as they are unable to export any more crude and have run out of storage.

The lost production will likely be made up quickly, but it will certainly draw on U.S. inventory levels in the coming weeks, which should further support prices. Crude is up 10% since Wednesday, when the DOE said in its weekly inventory report that stockpiles fell, contrary to analysts’ expectations for a build.

On Wednesday, the Fed may …