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Posts Tagged ‘energy markets’

OPEC Holding the Line

March 15th, 2009

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) decided to hold out against further production cuts at today’s meeting, and resolved to enforce compliance with existing reductions.

Obviously dealing with crude oil ($wtic: chart) production is a double edged sword.  Cut production in an effort to drive up prices, and you risk cutting demand even further in these fragile economic times.  Leave production alone and prices could fall further, cutting the economic incentive to bolster reserves.

OPEC has claimed that crude oil prices in the range of $50 to $60/bbl would be ideal, which is down from the $70-90 range that OPEC’s secretary general Abdalla el-Badri levied as appropriate at the end of January.

One positive aspect of a lower price range is that production with higher lifting costs will be shut in, further helping moderate the industry financials as s whole.

The next meeting is in two months on May 28th where the supply-demand analysis may be a bit more clear.

crude_oil_chart_15mar09

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Buying more Provident

April 26th, 2008

I’m starting to buy Provident Energy Trust (PVX: chart, web, Y!) again in small bits and pieces.  Natural gas ($natgas: chart) is holding its own even with rising temperatures, mostly due to increased use in electrical power generation.

I’ve also noticed that with the advent of LNG technology (liquified natural gas, where they cool the stuff off so much it turns to a liquid, thus facilitating shipping) we’re starting to see natural gas traded more on a global market.

It used to be that natural gas markets were very focused due to the infrastructure required to handle the gas.  Now that it’s exportable, I think we’re seeing natural gas prices start to increase due to a more widespread market demand…

At any rate, I don’t see natural gas prices coming down anytime soon, at least not to the levels we’re used to at this time of year.

natural gas chart

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