Cree (CREE: chart, web, Y!) has been really good to my portfolio.  I’ve basically doubled my money which is probably a first for me.  (I’ve been halved, and halved again, but never doubled up).

So now I’m looking for the next opportunity.  It’s not that I’m turning on Cree, I just need another stock that has as much room to grow as Cree did when I did my first analysis on the company back in June of 2009.

In the spirit of “go with what you know”, I’m looking at Sprint (S: chart, web, Y!).

It’s not that I have any extensive knowledge of the company itself, but I do use their service (ever since I switched from Verizon in January).

Sprint has made a rough go of it in the wireless industry over the last several years.  Customer service has been at the top of the complaint list for many customers, and the Nextel acquisition turned out terribly.

What’s interesting is that the company is silently competitive.  While AT&T and Verizon are in a fierce advertisement battle, Sprint is the lower cost solution with competitive service and products.

Customer service is getting better, coverage is good and getting better, and the company is extensively developing a 4G network in a partnership with Clearwire.

Sprint announces first quarter earnings on Wednesday, and the expectation is that they’ll post another 300,000 subscribers.  Those will most likely be Nextel customers, and I suspect the CDMA side of the business will show a net gain in customers.

The expectation is that Sprint will post a $0.10 per share loss, and they’ll probably meet that expectation (I wouldn’t be surprised if the loss is greater than expected, either).

The silver lining.

Things are getting better.  The Nextel business is essentially dead, and the company will probably just let it die.  Customers (like me) are going to the low-cost solution and letting Verizon and AT&T spend the big bucks on television ads.

The company has a great future in the 4G segment, and will probably revolutionize the wireless industry.

CEO Dan Hesse is rational about the direction of the company; willing to spend money on R&D, and is realistic about the subscriber base.

My plans?

I’ll wait till the numbers come out on Wednesday.  There is more short-term downside potential than upside potential (i.e. through the next week or so after earnings).  That said, I’ll buy on an appreciable pull back under $4.

Investing, Stock Thoughts Dan Hesse, sprint

I wrote a few days ago about CREE (CREE: chart, web, Y!), a company that makes LED lighting components, including the lights themselves.

I feel that LED lights aren’t too far away from replacing incandescent and mercury containing CFL bulbs, and that products are already showing up on local store shelves, although prices have yet to come in at an economic range.

I’ve been perusing the companies 2008 annual report over the last couple days, and studied the financial numbers from the last several years.

Annual Revenue

As of the end of June, 2008, total revenues were on the rise to a level just shy of $500 million, with a 33.6% gross margin on revenues.

LED products (LED chips, components and lighting solutions) made up a total of 84% of total revenues, materials (SiC wafers, etc) made up just under 6% and power and RF products (power and RF switches) made up 4%.  The rest of the revenues came in the form of contracts with government agencies.

At the end of FY08, the company had $371 million in cash and marketable securities on hand and $408 million in working capital.

Diluted incomer per share was $0.36 at the end of FY08, which was down considerably from previous years, the high of which came in 2005 at $1.38 per share.

The company continued its streak of zero debt, a statistic maintained since as far back as 2004 or earlier.

The Most Recent Quarter

Naturally a lot has changed since the end of FY08 (nearly a year ago) and a FY09 report is due out in the next few months.

For Q3 ‘09, revenues of $131 million were 5% higher than the same quarter of 2008, but not surprisingly, down 11% compared to Q2 ‘09.

Operating cash flow for the third quarter came in at $49.9 million and the company generated $40.5 million of free cash flow.

The company built upon its cash reserves, increasing cash and investments to $404.9 million, and has maintained zero debt through the third quarter of fiscal 2009.

Recent News

On May 26th of this year, CREE announced that they are raising their financial targets for the fourth quarter of 2009, which is a pleasant headline to be reading in this economic environment.

The company says that the increase in targets is due to stronger LED component bookings for lighting-related applications such as laptops, displays, etc.

The company forecasts LED product sales to continue to grow into FY 2010 and will continue to spend money on R&D to make that forecast come true.

Corner Office Comments

I am more intrigued with this company the more I read.  The financial numbers look strong, and revenues have been maintained at healthy levels even in a down economy.  This could be a function of the company offering products that equate to energy savings with long product life cycles, making their products attractive to cities and municipalities (among other entities) trying to cut operating expenses when budgets are shrinking.

The zero debt is a major selling point, and the fact that the company has over $400 million in cash to work with makes the deal even sweeter.

I think this is a strong company with a promising product line.  They already market their LR6 downlight product that will replace 65 Watt flood-type recessed lights in your everyday residential application, and I suspect a replacement for traditional round incandescent bulbs is right around the corner.

I see prices coming down as LED lights gain traction in the market (LED’s have already replaced filament type Christmas lights) and CREE should be well positioned to take advantage of the next big technology shift in such a widely used market as home and business lighting applications.

The stock price has been fluctuating for the last several months, but the trend has been overwhelming positive since the beginning of 2009.

I’ll start buying some shares on the next downswing and I think the long term prospects for the stock is very promising.

Investing, Stock Thoughts, Technology CREE, LED, LED lighting, Technology

It’s tough for me to say anything negative about my Verizon Wireless (VZ: chart, web, Y!) service.

It’s always available and it’s been years since I’ve had a dropped call.  It even worked in the Caribbean when I was there on business early last year; so there is something to be said for “the network”.

The only complaint I have is the cost of the service itself in relation to the features provided.  For $59.99 per month (plus the $20 in taxes and fees) I get 550 minutes between my wife and I.  As I’ve mentioned before, we don’t even come close to using those minutes.

I suppose you could say I’m eager to see how these down economic times will shape not just technology, but pricing in the very near future.

I’d love to have something like a Blackberry, and Verizon would practically give me a device for free.  But the $70+ service is really driving me away, and that doesn’t include the additional money for the traditional cell phone service for my wife.

In a fairly recent issue of BusinessWeek, the big three in wireless service here in the United States are seeing competition accelerate as buyers of pricey services and phones have tightened their belts.

The article mentioned that the battle is heating up in wireless data service, and the desire to grow the market while bringing down prices.  AT&T (VZ: chart, web, Y!) for instance has an 8.6% share in wireless data, compared to 16.4% for Sprint (S: chart, web, Y!) and Verizon’s 10.9%.

Verizon tends to be a bit hamstrung by 45% stakeholder Vodafone (VOD: chart, web, Y!)  (popular in Europe) and Sprint has been facing a recurring challenge in attracting and retaining customers.  Service has been spotty, customer support lacking, and product lines have been thin.

AT&T on the other hand holds a 100% stake in wireless and has its fingers in a lot of different telecom markets (a la AT&T UVerse).  They’ve got a decent amount of cash and low capital requirements to maintain their infrastructure.

The Apple (AAPL: chart, web, Y!)  iPhone has almost reached cult status, and I have to admit, I’m not much of an Apple guy, but I love the idea of an iPhone (again, besides the service price) and own a iPod.

I’m going to continue watching how the AT&T vs. Verizon vs. Sprint battle plays out, but I think if prices start coming down and consumer spending starts going up, it may be worth buying some shares of AT&T.

Investing, Stock Thoughts, Technology AT&T, sprint, telecom, Verizon