I believe we will continue to find direction in the market with the news due out next week.

The Federal Budget is due out on May 12th, posed to reveal the typical boost from tax receipts. However, the governments stimulus package will lead to a $400 billion deficit for the year.

Wal-Mart is due to release earnings on May 13th, which I believe will uncover the true consumer sentiment. EPS for the retailer are forecast to be up 10% from a year ago. I think this data will confirm a shift in consumer spending from larger, brand-name stores to the discount stores. Later on in the week (May …

I started reading over the Schering-Plough (SGP: chart, web, Y!) 2007 financial report in an effort to do some more research.

Interestingly enough, I’m starting to rethink my position on Schering. SGP had really fallen out of favor with me since the whole Vytorin mess really blew up, and the stock price sunk to $13.83 per share for its 52 week lows.

After digesting some of the numbers though, I don’t think things look all that bad… at least not bad enough to justify the $18 share price.

Back in November of last year, Schering bought Organon BioSciences (OBS) for about $16.1 billion.  Effectively, that entire acquisition …

Starbucks (SBUX: chart, web, Y!) has been making valiant efforts in marketing to combat the effects of cheaper coffee shops and gourmet coffee-selling fast food chains.  But they’re coming up short.

I could smell this one coming from miles away (pardon the pun).  The first thing to suffer from a falling economy is the discretionary purchases that have become most routine.  When you first start looking at your budget and ask yourself the question: “where can I save a few bucks here and a few bucks there?” the answer is easy.  …

I’m starting to buy Provident Energy Trust (PVX: chart, web, Y!) again in small bits and pieces.  Natural gas ($natgas: chart) is holding its own even with rising temperatures, mostly due to increased use in electrical power generation.

I’ve also noticed that with the advent of LNG technology (liquified natural gas, where they cool the stuff off so much it turns to a liquid, thus facilitating shipping) we’re starting to see natural gas traded more on a global market.

It used to be that natural gas markets were very focused due to the infrastructure required to handle the gas.  Now that it’s exportable, …

Schering Plough (SGP: chart, web, Y!) just can’t win, and I’m happy I decided to sit on the sidelines to watch the show. The more they try to pump the Vytorin drug, the lower the stock sinks.

Last week the stock got ploughed after doctors revealed they wouldn’t recommend the drug to their patients. Ouch!

So now Schering has resorted to cutting jobs in order to save money. Not good. Not good at all.

This certainly doesn’t look like a good buy-it and forget-it stock.

Next week will reveal a lot about the state of our economy:

Institute for Supply Management data - April 1st.
The institutes’s data for March suggests a drop to 48.0 which would signal that the economy is close to falling into a recession.

Joint Economic Committee Meeting - April 2nd.
Ben Bernanke is set to testify before the congressional Joint Economic Committee on the out look of our economy. The committee will discuss whether our economy is already in a recession or heading into one.

Earnings: Best Buy and RIM - April 2nd.
Earnings reports for Best Buy (BBY: chart, web, Y!) and Research in Motion (RIMM: …

Oracle (ORCL: chart, web, Y!) posted disappointing quarterly software sales today and hinted that its customers had become more cautious, dispelling the notion that the software sector would be immune to the economic turmoil that has roiled the rest of the tech sector.

As I mentioned last weekend, I suspect Oracles report could serve as a template for future earnings reports to come in the next month for the tech sector. In short, profits may continue to climb, but worries about our economic condition and consumer spending will place a target on revenues and sales. If those numbers …

Walgreen’s (WAG: chart, web, Y!) earnings came out today and they ended up beating Street estimates by 2 cents, and second quarter sales increased by 10.5% on comparable-store sales growth of 4.7%.

While the EPS was up, it didn’t match the sales growth, increasing just 6.5%.

So what’s the beef?

Walgreen’s earnings are commendable, but the fact that earnings aren’t out-growing sales leads me to believe margins are tightening. In fact, gross margins were down 14 basis points for a variety of reasons including mix shift and softer seasonal sales.

Expenses were up 11 basis points as a percentage of sales, however most of the expenses …

Walgreens reports earnings - March 24th
What a difference a day makes. Leap year is going to be particularly good to Walgreens (WAG: chart, web, Y!).

On Monday the drugstore chain reports second-quarter earnings, and those numbers garner help from one extra day’s worth of business in February. Same-store sales rose 8.3% in February, and analysts expect that February 29th sales will push the EPS up to 67 cents.

Oracle Insight - March 26th
Oracle (ORCL: chart, web, Y!) is scheduled to report fiscal third quarter earnings after the market closes on the 26th. Normally I don’t follow Oracle, but …

Last Wednesday, Provident Energy (PVX: chart, web, Y!) came out with their 2007 year-end and Q407 report, and also provided an update on reserves.

All around a positive report, and I’m curious as to why the stock dropped almost a dollar in two days on a fairly bullish report. The only thing I can think of is that crude oil ($wtic: chart) dropped $6 and natural gas ($natgas: chart) prices waned almost a dollar in those same two days will a lot of money fleeing commodities.

A few highlights from the report:

The payout ratio in the fourth quarter of …