Archive for the 'Energy' Category

Oil crosses $100 but nets a $600 loss.

Friday, January 4th, 2008

Last Wednesday crude oil ($wtic: chart) crossed the magic $100 per barrel threshold for the first time ever. But now it appears that the event was an attempt to gain 15 minutes of fame.

Evidently, a single trader bid up the price of crude by buying a 1,000 barrel contract off the floor for $100 per barrel, then turned around and sold it for $99.60 per barrel, a $600 loss (crude crossed the magic $100 line again the next day, but let’s face it, there are no points for second place!).

Most trading in energy futures has shifted …


Fuel Standards and Ethanol

Saturday, December 22nd, 2007

My good buddy MJ over at Dyslexic Research forwarded me an article on how President Bush signed a bill to increase fuel efficiency standards to 35 MPG by the year 2020. Also lumped into the bill was a required ramp-up of the use of ethanol at refineries from about 6 billion gallons a year this year to 36 billion gallons by 2022 and additional mandates that by then at least 21 billion gallons are to come from feedstocks other than corn.

I like the fact that we’re raising fuel efficiency standards, finally. However I don’t think we’re exactly pushing …


The Ethanol Farce

Monday, November 26th, 2007

I’ve always been skeptical of the true value of running a vehicle on ethanol. I feel that the next great propulsive fuel must have a net energy content greater than gasoline. Scientifically, this means that the energy content of a given amount of future fuel must be greater than gasoline. Currently, I believe the prime candidate for this is hydrogen.

But I digress. Back to the ethanol farce.

I came across a Consumer Reports revelation from 2006 presenting the results of their gasoline vs. ethanol tests. They ran a battery of tests on a new (2007) flex-fuel …


Is it time to short crude?

Friday, November 23rd, 2007

There are very few people out there that can seem to justify the near $100 price tag on crude oil. The fundamentals based on supply and demand support levels much lower than $100, leading one to believe that the additional premium on black tea is built on speculation, which tends to be the most volatile trait of a commodity.

So one has to wonder, is it time to short crude?

The next question you might ask, is if so, how? The traditional way to trade oil is through a futures account, which tends to be an expensive endeavor just to set up …


OPEC Interested in Non-Dollar Currency

Monday, November 19th, 2007

Iranian President Ahmadinejad came out Sunday at the end of a rare OPEC summit stating that OPEC’s members have expressed interest in converting their cash reserves into a currency other than the depreciating U.S. dollar, which he called a “worthless piece of paper.” (It later became clear that the “members” he is referring to is none other than Iran and Venezuela… go figure.)

He went on to blame President Bush’s policies for the decline of the dollar and its negative effect on other countries.

In an effort to tag-team the idea, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez jumped in from the sidelines saying “the empire …


Duncan Energy Partners Q3 Conference Call Notes

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

Duncan Energy Partners (DEP: chart, web, Y!) reported Q3 financials today. They reported a net income of $4.5 million for the quarter, which rounds out to $0.22 per unit, fully diluted share, missing Reuters estimates by $0.01 per share.

Gross operating margin was $19.1 million for Q307 as compared to $22.5 million for Q306. The difference can be attributed to business interruption insurance recoveries, startup expenses for 2007 (remember that DEP went public in February of this year) and the write off of conversion costs when they tried to convert a NGL storage cavern to a natural gas storage cavern, and determined the cavern would not be suitable for natural gas storage.

Consequently, if you adjust for these unusual costs incurred in 2007, the gross operating margin was ahead of that in 2006.

Distributable cash flow for the third quarter was $8.7 million.

“We are pleased to increase the cash distribution rate to our partners this quarter for the first time since our IPO in February,” said Richard H. Bachmann, president and chief executive officer of the general partner of Duncan Energy Partners. “Future increases in the quarterly cash distribution rate are expected as the distributable cash flow from our commercial businesses, whether from our existing assets or the acquisition and/or construction of new assets, warrant.” -Source

Higher than expected capital expenditures brought the overall distributable cash flow for the quarter down, part of which was due to a state requirement to have partial pipeline integrity done by the middle of December.

Bachmann went on to say that he expects the capital expenditure levels to drop going through 2008.


Another Provident Acquisition

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

Yesterday Provident Energy (PVX: chart, web, Y!) entered an agreement to buy out a privately held company with oil assets in southeast Saskatchewan for $79 million in shares.

The short end of this is that PVX is spending money to increase reserves, and add to their daily production. In fact, they’ll add 1,300 barrels per day of production, nearly all of which is crude. Provident’s proved plus probable reserves are estimated at 3.6 million barrels of oil.

“This acquisition provides excellent strategic and economic value to Provident, improving the quality and supporting the sustainability of our existing southeast Saskatchewan assets,” …


Boone on Crude

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

On Friday, legendary oilman T. Boone Pickens predicted that oil will hit $100 a barrel, possibly in the fourth quarter, but definitely by sometime next year.

The reasoning behind is prediction is that he believes worldwide demand has outpaced global output of 85 million barrels a day. Consequently, Boone, as a believer in supply and demand (as am I) says oil prices have nowhere to go but up.

“I think you’ll reach $100 (a barrel) before you go back to $80,” Pickens said before speaking at a gathering of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas at a downtown hotel. “It could happen in the …


Duncan Energy Partners Increases Dividend

Sunday, October 21st, 2007

Last Tuesday Duncan Energy Partners (DEP: chart, web, Y!) raised its quarterly dividend by 2.5% to $0.41 per unit.

Duncan Energy is primarily an oil and natural gas pipeline company, and their primary business is transporting and storing natural gas liquids (NGL’s) and petroleum products. A highly attractive sector that is mildly insulated against changes in crude and natural gas prices.

DEP is an MLP, which means they are required to distribue a certain percentage of their earnings to “partners”. The fact that they are raising the dividend indicates that their finances are doing …


Hook Me Up to a Pengrowth DRIP

Saturday, July 28th, 2007

It’s about time! The only thing making Pengrowth Energy Trust (PGH: chart, web, Yahoo!) less attractive than it’s competition was the lack of a dividend reinvestment program (DRIP).

Alas, no more. The company announced on July 25th that U.S. unitholders are now eligible to participate in the Pengrowth Distribution Reinvestment and Trust Unit Purchase Plan (the “DRIP”) which has been available to Canadian resident unitholders of Pengrowth Energy Trust since July of 1992.

But wait, it gets better!

“Pengrowth’s enhanced DRIP permits unitholders to elect to reinvest their cash distributions in additional trust units at a five percent discount to the weighted average …