Archive for October, 2007

Going Paperless?

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

I’m slowly buying in to the paperless world. I’ve converted several of my various accounts and utilities to electronic statements.

I’ve been slow to adapt to this concept, as I’ve always been a fan of paper records. I’ve got all my statements sorted out by year going back to who knows when, even for accounts that have long been closed.

However, over the past month or so, I’ve noticed that I really don’t even look at them any more. For my bank accounts, I generally review my ledger online if not every day, then every other day. If there’s a discrepancy, I …


Crude Settles Higher, Dollar Be Lower

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

Yesterday crude oil settled in above $93 per barrel on production problems in Mexico and a weaker dollar.
Pemex, of Mexico, took 600,000 barrels a day off line due to weather. Most of the problem stems from ports being closed, as they are unable to export any more crude and have run out of storage.

The lost production will likely be made up quickly, but it will certainly draw on U.S. inventory levels in the coming weeks, which should further support prices. Crude is up 10% since Wednesday, when the DOE said in its weekly inventory report that stockpiles fell, contrary to analysts’ expectations for a build.

On Wednesday, the Fed may …


Another rate cut. Seriously?

Monday, October 29th, 2007

This is going to be an interesting week in economic review. The Fed meets again on Wednesday, and the stock market seems to have another rate cut factored in.

I can’t believe Ben Bernanke would drop the overnight rate this soon after dropping the rate a larger than anticipated half point.

The credit problems are starting to moderate, third quarter financials are stronger than expected, the World economy is booming on the weak dollar, and the dismal housing market has yet to spill over into the rest of the economy. In short, things don’t look all that bad from my point of view. Or, more properly stated, things don’t …


Ray Charles, how do you feel this evening?

Friday, October 26th, 2007

A little Friday night entertainment.

I’m not sure it gets much better.


Duncan Energy Partners Q3 Conference Call Notes

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

Duncan Energy Partners (DEP: chart, web, Y!) reported Q3 financials today. They reported a net income of $4.5 million for the quarter, which rounds out to $0.22 per unit, fully diluted share, missing Reuters estimates by $0.01 per share.

Gross operating margin was $19.1 million for Q307 as compared to $22.5 million for Q306. The difference can be attributed to business interruption insurance recoveries, startup expenses for 2007 (remember that DEP went public in February of this year) and the write off of conversion costs when they tried to convert a NGL storage cavern to a natural gas storage cavern, and determined the cavern would not be suitable for natural gas storage.

Consequently, if you adjust for these unusual costs incurred in 2007, the gross operating margin was ahead of that in 2006.

Distributable cash flow for the third quarter was $8.7 million.

“We are pleased to increase the cash distribution rate to our partners this quarter for the first time since our IPO in February,” said Richard H. Bachmann, president and chief executive officer of the general partner of Duncan Energy Partners. “Future increases in the quarterly cash distribution rate are expected as the distributable cash flow from our commercial businesses, whether from our existing assets or the acquisition and/or construction of new assets, warrant.” -Source

Higher than expected capital expenditures brought the overall distributable cash flow for the quarter down, part of which was due to a state requirement to have partial pipeline integrity done by the middle of December.

Bachmann went on to say that he expects the capital expenditure levels to drop going through 2008.


What do you mean by “Risk”?

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

I read a post by Robert Frank at The Wealth Report blog hosted by The Wall Street Journal Online today that left me scratching my head.

It might be my engineering background that had me thumbing my nose at the post, but generally it’s my propensity to question what they’re not telling you that really had me intrigued.

The author noted that as evidenced in the book “The Millionaire Next Door,” it’s those who pinch their pennies, drive old pickup trucks and make conservative investments that end up getting ahead in the financial game.

The author goes on to …


Looking for the Next Best Buy-it and Forget-it Stock

Wednesday, October 24th, 2007

I’ve been doing rather well in my Roth IRA for the last year. I’m holding Provident Energy (PVX: chart, web, Y!), which turns a healthy 11% dividend and pays monthly, Duncan Energy Partners (DEP: chart, web, Y!), which recently increased its dividend by 2.5%, and my company stock, which has better than doubled over the last year.

Being in the oil industry, I think it’s safe to say that I’m overweight in oil and gas; which, at this point in time is not such a bad thing. However, down the road, I foresee a major pullback in crude prices, which will not be such a good thing for the industry.

So, I’ve set out to find the next great “buy-it and forget-it” stock. Naturally, I don’t literally mean forget it. I just don’t want to have to watch the stock price every day with a twitchy trigger finger on the sell button.

I want a stock that I’ll hold for 2 or 3 years at a minimum, pays a bit of a dividend, but has tremendous room for growth, not only as an individual company, but I’d like to see a good forecast for growth in the sector too.

Here are a few options I’m looking at, for various different reasons.


Another Provident Acquisition

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

Yesterday Provident Energy (PVX: chart, web, Y!) entered an agreement to buy out a privately held company with oil assets in southeast Saskatchewan for $79 million in shares.

The short end of this is that PVX is spending money to increase reserves, and add to their daily production. In fact, they’ll add 1,300 barrels per day of production, nearly all of which is crude. Provident’s proved plus probable reserves are estimated at 3.6 million barrels of oil.

“This acquisition provides excellent strategic and economic value to Provident, improving the quality and supporting the sustainability of our existing southeast Saskatchewan assets,” …


Boone on Crude

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

On Friday, legendary oilman T. Boone Pickens predicted that oil will hit $100 a barrel, possibly in the fourth quarter, but definitely by sometime next year.

The reasoning behind is prediction is that he believes worldwide demand has outpaced global output of 85 million barrels a day. Consequently, Boone, as a believer in supply and demand (as am I) says oil prices have nowhere to go but up.

“I think you’ll reach $100 (a barrel) before you go back to $80,” Pickens said before speaking at a gathering of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas at a downtown hotel. “It could happen in the …


Duncan Energy Partners Increases Dividend

Sunday, October 21st, 2007

Last Tuesday Duncan Energy Partners (DEP: chart, web, Y!) raised its quarterly dividend by 2.5% to $0.41 per unit.

Duncan Energy is primarily an oil and natural gas pipeline company, and their primary business is transporting and storing natural gas liquids (NGL’s) and petroleum products. A highly attractive sector that is mildly insulated against changes in crude and natural gas prices.

DEP is an MLP, which means they are required to distribue a certain percentage of their earnings to “partners”. The fact that they are raising the dividend indicates that their finances are doing …